Wind Turbine Payback in Bradley County, TN
Wind turbine payback in Bradley County
No. The turbine wears out before it pays for itself.
At 30 m, the height a home turbine tower usually reaches, the wind in Bradley County, TN averages 3.17 m/s (7.1 mph). A 10 kW turbine there would make about 3,132 kWh a year, worth $432 at TN's 13.8¢/kWh. Against an installed cost of about $100,000, that is a payback of over 100 years, and the turbine is built to last about 20.
What to do in Bradley County
A home turbine is not worth buying for savings in Bradley County unless your spot is far windier than the county average, 8.4 m/s at the hub against 3.17 m/s here. Per kW, solar panels would make about 1,261 kWh a year here against the turbine's 313, so get a solar quote first.
What would have to change
- Power would have to cost 160¢/kWh, 11.6 times what TN pays now.
- Or the average wind at the hub would have to be 8.4 m/s instead of 3.17. A taller tower or an exposed ridge can add some of that; a rooftop never will.
Against the rest of TN
Bradley County is the 2,915th windiest of 3,144 US counties at turbine height; the national middle is 4.79 m/s. The windiest in TN is Lake County at 5.54 m/s, payback 44 years.
Month by month in Bradley County
March is the strongest month here, at 3.77 m/s and about 463 kWh. July is the weakest, 2.39 m/s and 96 kWh, so the best month makes 4.8 times the worst. November to March brings in 58% of the year's output in Bradley County.
| Month | Wind at 30 m | Output | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3.60 m/s | 403 kWh | $56 |
| February | 3.72 m/s | 405 kWh | $56 |
| March | 3.77 m/s | 463 kWh | $64 |
| April | 3.71 m/s | 427 kWh | $59 |
| May | 3.08 m/s | 240 kWh | $33 |
| June | 2.60 m/s | 130 kWh | $18 |
| July | 2.39 m/s | 96 kWh | $13 |
| August | 2.41 m/s | 100 kWh | $14 |
| September | 2.73 m/s | 155 kWh | $21 |
| October | 3.13 m/s | 256 kWh | $35 |
| November | 3.42 m/s | 329 kWh | $45 |
| December | 3.47 m/s | 359 kWh | $50 |
What a taller tower would buy
Measured at 10 m the wind in Bradley County averages 2.02 m/s; at 50 m it is 3.9 m/s. That gives a shear exponent of 0.409, typical of rough, sheltered ground: trees or buildings slow the low wind a lot. Going from 20 m to 50 m takes output from 1,752 to 6,085 kWh a year, 247% more, before counting the extra cost of the taller tower. Why tower height decides it explains the shear behind these numbers.
| Hub height | Average wind | Output | Payback |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 m | 2.68 m/s | 1,752 kWh | over 100 years |
| 30 m | 3.16 m/s | 3,114 kWh | over 100 years |
| 40 m | 3.56 m/s | 4,570 kWh | over 100 years |
| 50 m | 3.9 m/s | 6,085 kWh | over 100 years |
Counties around Bradley County
1 of the 6 closest counties is windier at turbine height; the windiest, Polk County, averages 3.24 m/s.
- Polk County, TN: 3.24 m/s, 3,367 kWh, payback over 100 years (18 mi)
- Hamilton County, TN: 3.17 m/s, 3,132 kWh, payback over 100 years (19 mi)
- McMinn County, TN: 3.07 m/s, 2,813 kWh, payback over 100 years (23 mi)
- Catoosa County, GA: 3.17 m/s, 3,132 kWh, payback over 100 years (24 mi)
- Meigs County, TN: 3.07 m/s, 2,813 kWh, payback over 100 years (25 mi)
- Whitfield County, GA: 3.17 m/s, 3,132 kWh, payback over 100 years (25 mi)
Sun versus wind in Bradley County
Bradley County gets 4.32 kWh of sunshine per square metre a day on average. One kW of solar panels here would make roughly 1,261 kWh a year; one kW of the turbine above makes 313. Kilowatt for kilowatt, panels make 4.0 times as much here as the turbine. Panel output assumes an 80% system performance ratio. Wind or solar runs the same comparison for every county.
How this is worked out
Wind is NASA's Power climate record, the 2001-2025 average at 10 m and 50 m for the county's centre, carried to 30 m with this county's own measured wind shear and spread into hours with a Rayleigh distribution. The turbine is a generic 10 kW, 7 m rotor machine with 10% losses. Cost is $10,000 per kW installed with no tax credit, because the federal one ended in 2025. One county-centre number cannot see your hilltop or your tree line, so treat it as the starting point for a site survey, not a substitute. The full method and its weak spots are in how the numbers are made.