Wind Turbine Payback in Nacogdoches County, TX
Wind turbine payback in Nacogdoches County
No. The turbine wears out before it pays for itself.
At 30 m, the height a home turbine tower usually reaches, the wind in Nacogdoches County, TX averages 3.2 m/s (7.2 mph). A 10 kW turbine there would make about 3,232 kWh a year, worth $518 at TX's 16.03¢/kWh. Against an installed cost of about $100,000, that is a payback of over 100 years, and the turbine is built to last about 20.
What to do in Nacogdoches County
A home turbine is not worth buying for savings in Nacogdoches County unless your spot is far windier than the county average, 7.6 m/s at the hub against 3.2 m/s here. Per kW, solar panels would make about 1,343 kWh a year here against the turbine's 323, so get a solar quote first.
What would have to change
- Power would have to cost 155¢/kWh, 9.7 times what TX pays now.
- Or the average wind at the hub would have to be 7.6 m/s instead of 3.2. A taller tower or an exposed ridge can add some of that; a rooftop never will.
Against the rest of TX
Nacogdoches County is the 2,884th windiest of 3,144 US counties at turbine height; the national middle is 4.79 m/s. The windiest in TX is Dallam County at 6.82 m/s, payback 24 years.
Month by month in Nacogdoches County
April is the strongest month here, at 3.67 m/s and about 413 kWh. July is the weakest, 2.62 m/s and 137 kWh, so the best month makes 3.0 times the worst. November to March brings in 51% of the year's output in Nacogdoches County.
| Month | Wind at 30 m | Output | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3.39 m/s | 332 kWh | $53 |
| February | 3.48 m/s | 325 kWh | $52 |
| March | 3.57 m/s | 393 kWh | $63 |
| April | 3.67 m/s | 413 kWh | $66 |
| May | 3.32 m/s | 310 kWh | $50 |
| June | 2.88 m/s | 187 kWh | $30 |
| July | 2.62 m/s | 137 kWh | $22 |
| August | 2.65 m/s | 143 kWh | $23 |
| September | 2.88 m/s | 187 kWh | $30 |
| October | 3.18 m/s | 270 kWh | $43 |
| November | 3.39 m/s | 321 kWh | $51 |
| December | 3.37 m/s | 327 kWh | $52 |
What a taller tower would buy
Measured at 10 m the wind in Nacogdoches County averages 1.94 m/s; at 50 m it is 4.04 m/s. That gives a shear exponent of 0.456, typical of rough, sheltered ground: trees or buildings slow the low wind a lot. Going from 20 m to 50 m takes output from 1,703 to 6,780 kWh a year, 298% more, before counting the extra cost of the taller tower. Why tower height decides it explains the shear behind these numbers.
| Hub height | Average wind | Output | Payback |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 m | 2.66 m/s | 1,703 kWh | over 100 years |
| 30 m | 3.2 m/s | 3,233 kWh | over 100 years |
| 40 m | 3.65 m/s | 4,944 kWh | over 100 years |
| 50 m | 4.04 m/s | 6,780 kWh | 92 years |
Counties around Nacogdoches County
4 of the 6 closest counties are windier at turbine height; the windiest, Rusk County, averages 4.17 m/s.
- Angelina County, TX: 3.2 m/s, 3,232 kWh, payback over 100 years (25 mi)
- Shelby County, TX: 3.47 m/s, 4,211 kWh, payback over 100 years (30 mi)
- San Augustine County, TX: 3.2 m/s, 3,232 kWh, payback over 100 years (32 mi)
- Rusk County, TX: 4.17 m/s, 7,461 kWh, payback 84 years (35 mi)
- Cherokee County, TX: 4.17 m/s, 7,461 kWh, payback 84 years (35 mi)
- Panola County, TX: 3.47 m/s, 4,211 kWh, payback over 100 years (42 mi)
Sun versus wind in Nacogdoches County
Nacogdoches County gets 4.6 kWh of sunshine per square metre a day on average. One kW of solar panels here would make roughly 1,343 kWh a year; one kW of the turbine above makes 323. Kilowatt for kilowatt, panels make 4.2 times as much here as the turbine. Panel output assumes an 80% system performance ratio. Wind or solar runs the same comparison for every county.
How this is worked out
Wind is NASA's Power climate record, the 2001-2025 average at 10 m and 50 m for the county's centre, carried to 30 m with this county's own measured wind shear and spread into hours with a Rayleigh distribution. The turbine is a generic 10 kW, 7 m rotor machine with 10% losses. Cost is $10,000 per kW installed with no tax credit, because the federal one ended in 2025. One county-centre number cannot see your hilltop or your tree line, so treat it as the starting point for a site survey, not a substitute. The full method and its weak spots are in how the numbers are made.