Wind Turbine Payback in Missoula County, MT
Wind turbine payback in Missoula County
No. The turbine wears out before it pays for itself.
At 30 m, the height a home turbine tower usually reaches, the wind in Missoula County, MT averages 2.8 m/s (6.3 mph). A 10 kW turbine there would make about 2,047 kWh a year, worth $289 at MT's 14.13¢/kWh. Against an installed cost of about $100,000, that is a payback of over 100 years, and the turbine is built to last about 20.
What to do in Missoula County
A home turbine is not worth buying for savings in Missoula County unless your spot is far windier than the county average, 8.2 m/s at the hub against 2.8 m/s here. Per kW, solar panels would make about 1,133 kWh a year here against the turbine's 205, so get a solar quote first.
What would have to change
- Power would have to cost 244¢/kWh, 17.3 times what MT pays now.
- Or the average wind at the hub would have to be 8.2 m/s instead of 2.8. A taller tower or an exposed ridge can add some of that; a rooftop never will.
Against the rest of MT
Missoula County is the 3,125th windiest of 3,144 US counties at turbine height; the national middle is 4.79 m/s. The windiest in MT is Fallon County at 6.64 m/s, payback 29 years.
Month by month in Missoula County
March is the strongest month here, at 3.02 m/s and about 227 kWh. July is the weakest, 2.55 m/s and 124 kWh, so the best month makes 1.8 times the worst. November to March brings in 47% of the year's output in Missoula County.
| Month | Wind at 30 m | Output | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 2.87 m/s | 191 kWh | $27 |
| February | 2.92 m/s | 181 kWh | $26 |
| March | 3.02 m/s | 227 kWh | $32 |
| April | 2.94 m/s | 200 kWh | $28 |
| May | 2.71 m/s | 154 kWh | $22 |
| June | 2.68 m/s | 144 kWh | $20 |
| July | 2.55 m/s | 124 kWh | $18 |
| August | 2.56 m/s | 125 kWh | $18 |
| September | 2.68 m/s | 144 kWh | $20 |
| October | 2.92 m/s | 200 kWh | $28 |
| November | 2.92 m/s | 196 kWh | $28 |
| December | 2.86 m/s | 187 kWh | $26 |
What a taller tower would buy
Measured at 10 m the wind in Missoula County averages 1.88 m/s; at 50 m it is 3.37 m/s. That gives a shear exponent of 0.363, typical of rough, sheltered ground: trees or buildings slow the low wind a lot. Going from 20 m to 50 m takes output from 1,184 to 3,830 kWh a year, 223% more, before counting the extra cost of the taller tower. Why tower height decides it explains the shear behind these numbers.
| Hub height | Average wind | Output | Payback |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 m | 2.42 m/s | 1,184 kWh | over 100 years |
| 30 m | 2.8 m/s | 2,046 kWh | over 100 years |
| 40 m | 3.11 m/s | 2,931 kWh | over 100 years |
| 50 m | 3.37 m/s | 3,830 kWh | over 100 years |
Counties around Missoula County
5 of the 6 closest counties are windier at turbine height; the windiest, Lewis and Clark County, averages 3.93 m/s.
- Lake County, MT: 2.95 m/s, 2,455 kWh, payback over 100 years (43 mi)
- Powell County, MT: 3.35 m/s, 3,757 kWh, payback over 100 years (47 mi)
- Granite County, MT: 3.77 m/s, 5,477 kWh, payback over 100 years (49 mi)
- Mineral County, MT: 3 m/s, 2,601 kWh, payback over 100 years (57 mi)
- Ravalli County, MT: 2.71 m/s, 1,821 kWh, payback over 100 years (66 mi)
- Lewis and Clark County, MT: 3.93 m/s, 6,231 kWh, payback over 100 years (71 mi)
Sun versus wind in Missoula County
Missoula County gets 3.88 kWh of sunshine per square metre a day on average. One kW of solar panels here would make roughly 1,133 kWh a year; one kW of the turbine above makes 205. Kilowatt for kilowatt, panels make 5.5 times as much here as the turbine. Panel output assumes an 80% system performance ratio. Wind or solar runs the same comparison for every county.
How this is worked out
Wind is NASA's Power climate record, the 2001-2025 average at 10 m and 50 m for the county's centre, carried to 30 m with this county's own measured wind shear and spread into hours with a Rayleigh distribution. The turbine is a generic 10 kW, 7 m rotor machine with 10% losses. Cost is $10,000 per kW installed with no tax credit, because the federal one ended in 2025. One county-centre number cannot see your hilltop or your tree line, so treat it as the starting point for a site survey, not a substitute. The full method and its weak spots are in how the numbers are made.