Wind Turbine Payback in Hettinger County, ND
Wind turbine payback in Hettinger County
No. The turbine wears out before it pays for itself.
At 30 m, the height a home turbine tower usually reaches, the wind in Hettinger County, ND averages 6.78 m/s (15.2 mph). A 10 kW turbine there would make about 25,457 kWh a year, worth $3,172 at ND's 12.46¢/kWh. Against an installed cost of about $100,000, that is a payback of 32 years, and the turbine is built to last about 20.
What to do in Hettinger County
A home turbine is not worth buying for savings in Hettinger County unless your spot is far windier than the county average, 9.1 m/s at the hub against 6.78 m/s here. Per kW, solar panels would make about 1,194 kWh a year here against the turbine's 2,546, so get a solar quote first.
What would have to change
- Power would have to cost 20¢/kWh, 1.6 times what ND pays now.
- Or the average wind at the hub would have to be 9.1 m/s instead of 6.78. A taller tower or an exposed ridge can add some of that; a rooftop never will.
Against the rest of ND
Hettinger County is the 34th windiest of 3,144 US counties at turbine height; the national middle is 4.79 m/s. The windiest in ND is Bowman County at 6.79 m/s, payback 31 years.
Month by month in Hettinger County
January is the strongest month here, at 7.38 m/s and about 2,526 kWh. July is the weakest, 5.87 m/s and 1,591 kWh, so the best month makes 1.6 times the worst. November to March brings in 46% of the year's output in Hettinger County.
| Month | Wind at 30 m | Output | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 7.38 m/s | 2,526 kWh | $315 |
| February | 6.72 m/s | 1,917 kWh | $239 |
| March | 7.04 m/s | 2,321 kWh | $289 |
| April | 6.98 m/s | 2,210 kWh | $275 |
| May | 6.71 m/s | 2,117 kWh | $264 |
| June | 6.26 m/s | 1,776 kWh | $221 |
| July | 5.87 m/s | 1,591 kWh | $198 |
| August | 5.99 m/s | 1,665 kWh | $207 |
| September | 6.62 m/s | 1,995 kWh | $249 |
| October | 7.26 m/s | 2,451 kWh | $305 |
| November | 7.26 m/s | 2,372 kWh | $296 |
| December | 7.21 m/s | 2,424 kWh | $302 |
What a taller tower would buy
Measured at 10 m the wind in Hettinger County averages 5.42 m/s; at 50 m it is 7.52 m/s. That gives a shear exponent of 0.203, typical of ordinary open country. Going from 20 m to 50 m takes output from 21,511 to 30,672 kWh a year, 43% more, before counting the extra cost of the taller tower. Why tower height decides it explains the shear behind these numbers.
| Hub height | Average wind | Output | Payback |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 m | 6.24 m/s | 21,511 kWh | 37 years |
| 30 m | 6.78 m/s | 25,451 kWh | 32 years |
| 40 m | 7.19 m/s | 28,369 kWh | 28 years |
| 50 m | 7.52 m/s | 30,672 kWh | 26 years |
Counties around Hettinger County
1 of the 6 closest counties is windier at turbine height; the windiest, Bowman County, averages 6.79 m/s.
- Adams County, ND: 6.73 m/s, 25,093 kWh, payback 32 years (24 mi)
- Stark County, ND: 6.7 m/s, 24,874 kWh, payback 32 years (28 mi)
- Grant County, ND: 6.67 m/s, 24,655 kWh, payback 33 years (39 mi)
- Slope County, ND: 6.78 m/s, 25,457 kWh, payback 32 years (48 mi)
- Bowman County, ND: 6.79 m/s, 25,529 kWh, payback 31 years (55 mi)
- Morton County, ND: 6.53 m/s, 23,628 kWh, payback 34 years (58 mi)
Sun versus wind in Hettinger County
Hettinger County gets 4.09 kWh of sunshine per square metre a day on average. One kW of solar panels here would make roughly 1,194 kWh a year; one kW of the turbine above makes 2,546. This is one of the rare places where a kilowatt of turbine out-produces a kilowatt of panels, by 2.1 times. Panel output assumes an 80% system performance ratio. Wind or solar runs the same comparison for every county.
How this is worked out
Wind is NASA's Power climate record, the 2001-2025 average at 10 m and 50 m for the county's centre, carried to 30 m with this county's own measured wind shear and spread into hours with a Rayleigh distribution. The turbine is a generic 10 kW, 7 m rotor machine with 10% losses. Cost is $10,000 per kW installed with no tax credit, because the federal one ended in 2025. One county-centre number cannot see your hilltop or your tree line, so treat it as the starting point for a site survey, not a substitute. The full method and its weak spots are in how the numbers are made.